How long exactly can Russia sustain its monthly 30-50 thousand monthly casualties in Ukraine?

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Logistics in Ukraine (2022–present)15h
How long exactly can Russia sustain its monthly 30-50 thousand monthly casualties in Ukraine?

Until next spring.

Russia is currently applying maximum pressure on Ukraine, not only through ground combat operations but also through an ongoing campaign of missile and drone strikes.

In the long run, these operations aren't sustainable. Russia has more manpower than Ukraine, but its reserves aren't infinite.

I don't think Russia can maintain its current rate of losses in personnel and equipment for longer than a few months. Its plan is probably to secure a favourable position ahead of upcoming negotiations.

Taking a drone detector with you when leaving the house has become a reality for volunteers living in frontline cities. (Picture by the author of this post)

Moscow is also trying to destroy Ukraine's energy infrastructure to make life in Ukrainian cities impossible. A new wave of refugees heading towards Europe could destabilise the old continent, which is part of Russia's long-term strategy.

The prospect of a Democratic majority taking control of Congress in January adds even more urgency to Russia's plans.

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